We have come from a world with a single superpower in America to a live contest between the US and China over territory, influence and technology. Set against this background, here are some trends to watch in 2025, categorized by the probabilities that I have assigned them. High probability (above 70%): President-elect Donald Trump has…
Their prospects may be better than expected, especially if they choose alternative development paths. In the past, poor countries developed through manufacturing exports because foreign demand allowed their producers to achieve scale, and because abysmal agricultural productivity meant that low-skilled workers could be attracted to factory jobs even with low wages. This combination of scale…
There has been movement on the 2008 India-US nuclear deal after prolonged dormancy. The US has conveyed that it will remove the last few hurdles that block cooperation between its companies and Indian entities in the field of nuclear energy. This may entail easing US curbs not just on exports, but also on the joint…
Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump, center, and Republican vice presidential candidate Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, right, are joined in the box by House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, R-La., left, during the Republican National Convention on July 16, 2024, in Milwaukee. | Photo Credit: AP Immigration took center stage as the Republican National Convention…
